NHL Team On-Ice Impact & Line Combinations
Every skater’s 5-on-5 on-ice impact and the line combinations each NHL team actually used — goal and expected-goal rates measured while a player is on the ice, and for the same team while they sit.
What on-ice impact measures
Box-score totals describe what a player collected. On-ice impact describes what happened around them. For every 5-on-5 second a skater plays, their team's shot attempts, expected goals and goals are counted both for and against, and the same totals are kept for the minutes that skater spent on the bench. The gap between the two is the on/off split, and it is the part of a player's season that never reaches the scoresheet.
Expected goals carry most of the signal. Goals for and against are the outcome everyone can see, but over a single season they are noisy enough that a good unit and a lucky one look alike. Expected goals grade every unblocked shot on where and how it was taken, so a line that gives up ten harmless point shots is not charged the same as one that gives up two chances from the slot.
How a line combination is identified
Nothing here is read off a lineup card. Every 5-on-5 shift is grouped by the exact set of skaters who were on the ice together, and any forward trio or defence pair that shared enough ice time is treated as a unit in its own right. Combinations a coach never announced but leaned on for two hundred minutes show up; combinations announced in the morning and abandoned by the second period do not.
That is also why these units can disagree with the projected lines published before a game. The projection is an intention. This is the record.
Why on-ice rates need a with-or-without-you baseline
A raw on-ice rate is mostly a description of deployment. Start a line in the offensive zone against fourth-line opposition and it will post excellent numbers whatever it does with the puck; hand a defence pair the defensive-zone draws and the toughest matchup every night and its rate will look poor even if the pair is excellent. The rate measures the assignment at least as much as the player.
Comparing the same team with and without a player on the ice cancels most of that shared context — the same coach, the same teammates, the same schedule. What survives is much closer to the player's own contribution. It is the logic behind the with-or-without-you views on the linemate pages, applied to whole units.
Best forward lines in the NHL — 2025-26
Forward trios ranked by their 5-on-5 expected-goal share, among units with enough ice time together to be worth reading.
| # | Line | Team | TOI | xGF% | CF% | GF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross Colton · Jack Drury · Victor Olofsson | COL | 125 | 68.8 | 63.6 | 50.0 |
| 2 | Brady Tkachuk · Tim Stützle · Fabian Zetterlund | OTT | 139 | 68.1 | 61.9 | 46.7 |
| 3 | Parker Kelly · Jack Drury · Joel Kiviranta | COL | 176 | 67.9 | 65.4 | 65.0 |
| 4 | Brett Howden · Mark Stone · Mitch Marner | VGK | 103 | 67.8 | 61.2 | 58.8 |
| 5 | Josh Doan · Ryan McLeod · Alex Tuch | BUF | 106 | 67.6 | 58.0 | 64.7 |
| 6 | Artturi Lehkonen · Brock Nelson · Valeri Nichushkin | COL | 128 | 67.3 | 63.2 | 66.7 |
| 7 | Jason Robertson · Mavrik Bourque · Roope Hintz | DAL | 203 | 66.4 | 59.8 | 61.1 |
| 8 | Taylor Hall · Mark Jankowski · Eric Robinson | CAR | 128 | 66.4 | 64.5 | 66.7 |
| 9 | William Carrier · Mark Jankowski · Eric Robinson | CAR | 157 | 65.9 | 61.9 | 58.8 |
| 10 | Luke Evangelista · Ryan O'Reilly · Ozzy Wiesblatt | NSH | 110 | 64.7 | 67.9 | 100.0 |
| 11 | Brady Tkachuk · Dylan Cozens · Ridly Greig | OTT | 314 | 64.6 | 59.4 | 59.3 |
| 12 | Leon Draisaitl · Connor McDavid · Zach Hyman | EDM | 135 | 64.3 | 60.2 | 46.7 |
| 13 | Jesper Bratt · Jack Hughes · Nico Hischier | NJD | 102 | 63.5 | 59.2 | 50.0 |
| 14 | Denver Barkey · Sean Couturier · Owen Tippett | PHI | 164 | 62.9 | 53.2 | 37.5 |
| 15 | Ivan Barbashev · Jack Eichel · Mitch Marner | VGK | 105 | 62.7 | 54.8 | 72.7 |
Best defence pairs in the NHL — 2025-26
Defence pairs on the same measure. Pairs draw heavier defensive deployment than the forward lines above, so the two tables are not directly comparable.
| # | Pair | Team | TOI | xGF% | CF% | GF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devon Toews · Sam Malinski | COL | 234 | 67.5 | 64.5 | 68.8 |
| 2 | Zach Werenski · Damon Severson | CBJ | 390 | 66.7 | 62.1 | 59.5 |
| 3 | Thomas Chabot · Jordan Spence | OTT | 191 | 64.5 | 64.2 | 44.8 |
| 4 | Ivan Provorov · Denton Mateychuk | CBJ | 293 | 64.1 | 58.7 | 70.8 |
| 5 | Tyler Kleven · Jordan Spence | OTT | 653 | 62.1 | 59.4 | 64.7 |
| 6 | Connor Clifton · Ryan Graves | PIT | 192 | 62.0 | 53.7 | 57.1 |
| 7 | Matthew Schaefer · Tony DeAngelo | NYI | 163 | 61.9 | 58.8 | 64.7 |
| 8 | Mike Reilly · Alexander Nikishin | CAR | 204 | 60.8 | 61.3 | 61.5 |
| 9 | Charle-Edouard D'Astous · Erik Cernak | TBL | 225 | 60.4 | 54.6 | 42.3 |
| 10 | Owen Power · Rasmus Dahlin | BUF | 186 | 59.2 | 58.0 | 52.2 |
Team-by-team on-ice impact
Every club's skaters, their 5-on-5 on/off splits, and the combinations that actually played together.
Eastern Conference — Atlantic Division
Eastern Conference — Metropolitan Division
Western Conference — Central Division
Western Conference — Pacific Division
Frequently Asked Questions
What does on-ice impact measure?
On-ice impact compares what happens while a skater is on the ice at 5-on-5 with what happens for the same team while they sit. Shot attempts, expected goals and goals are all counted for and against, so the number reflects a player's effect on the run of play rather than only the points they collect.
How is an NHL line combination identified?
Lines are read off the ice rather than off a lineup card. Every 5-on-5 shift is grouped by the exact set of skaters who were out together, and any forward trio or defence pair that shared enough ice time is treated as a unit. That is why the combinations here can differ from the projected lines published before a game.
Why compare a line to the team without it?
A raw on-ice rate is mostly a description of deployment. A unit that starts in the offensive zone against depth opposition will post good numbers regardless of how it plays. Measuring the same team with and without a unit on the ice (a with-or-without-you baseline) removes most of that shared context and leaves the part the unit is responsible for.
Which NHL forward line controlled play the most in 2025-26?
Ross Colton · Jack Drury · Victor Olofsson of the COL posted the best 5-on-5 expected-goal share of any qualifying forward trio in 2025-26, at 68.8% across 125 minutes together.