John Carlson — Stats & Advanced Analytics
John Carlson is an NHL defenseman for the Tampa Bay Lightning. In the 2025-26 season John Carlson has 14 goals, 46 assists and 60 points in 71 games, worth 8.6 Goals Above Replacement.
Player Overview
John Carlson continues to be an elite offensive defenseman, showcasing remarkable longevity and production across 17 NHL seasons. In 71 games this year, he has amassed 60 points (14 goals, 46 assists) and a strong 9.2 GAR, building on a career that includes 785 points in 1159 games.
His offensive prowess is a consistent hallmark, with his even-strength offense alone generating an exceptional +11.1 GAR this season. Carlson's peak GAR of 13.5 in 2019-20 underscores his status as one of the league's premier blueliners, still delivering significant value.
Player Profile
| Position | Defenseman |
|---|---|
| Team | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Shoots / Catches | R |
| Height | 6'3" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Draft | 2008 — Round 1, Pick 27 — WSH |
2025-26 Season Stats
| GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | Shots | S% | TOI/GP | CF% | xG | Game Score | GAR | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 14 | 46 | 60 | +9 | 32 | 153 | 8.7% | 22:52 | 51.9% | 12.2 | 0.8 | 8.6 | 1.54 |
GAR Component Breakdown
| Even-Strength Offense | Even-Strength Defense | Power-Play Offense | Shorthanded Defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| +7.0 | -0.0 | +1.6 | +0.1 |
League percentile rank: points 78th, GAR 88th, WAR 88th (100th = league leader).
Career by Season (Regular Season)
| Season | GP | G | A | P | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 71 | 14 | 46 | 60 | 8.6 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 5 | 46 | 51 | 5.6 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 10 | 42 | 52 | 2.8 |
| 2022-23 | 40 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 4.0 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 17 | 54 | 71 | 8.6 |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 8.5 |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 15 | 60 | 75 | 13.4 |
| 2018-19 | 80 | 13 | 57 | 70 | 10.5 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 15 | 53 | 68 | 10.4 |
| 2016-17 | 72 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 4.7 |
| 2015-16 | 56 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 5.7 |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 12 | 43 | 55 | 5.8 |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -0.0 |
| 2012-13 | 48 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 1.2 |
Analysis
In the 2025-26 season John Carlson has been worth 8.6 Goals Above Replacement, which ranks in the 88th percentile leaguewide.
His value is driven primarily by even-strength offense (+7 GAR), with even-strength defense his smallest contribution (-0).
Across 14 tracked seasons his GAR peaked at 13.4 in 2019-20.
All figures are model outputs from Hockey Alchemy. Learn how the value metrics are built on the methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is John Carlson's GAR this season?
John Carlson has been worth 8.6 Goals Above Replacement (GAR) in the 2025-26 season, in the 88th percentile of NHL players.
What is John Carlson's WAR this season?
John Carlson has been worth about 1.5 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) in the 2025-26 season, in the 88th percentile of NHL players. WAR converts GAR to wins at roughly 5.57 goals per win.
How many points does John Carlson have this season?
John Carlson has 14 goals and 46 assists for 60 points in 71 games this season.
Is John Carlson a good defenseman?
John Carlson ranks in the 88th percentile among NHL skaters by GAR (8.6) in the 2025-26 season.
What is John Carlson's career GAR?
Across 14 NHL seasons tracked by Hockey Alchemy, John Carlson has accumulated 89.7 career GAR and 710 points.
When was John Carlson drafted?
John Carlson was drafted in 2008 — Round 1, Pick 27 — WSH.