John Carlson — Stats & Advanced Analytics
John Carlson is an NHL defenseman for the Tampa Bay Lightning. In the 2025-26 season John Carlson has 14 goals, 46 assists and 60 points in 71 games, worth 16.1 Goals Above Replacement.
Player Overview
John Carlson continues to be an elite offensive defenseman, showcasing remarkable longevity and production across 17 NHL seasons. In 71 games this year, he has amassed 60 points (14 goals, 46 assists) and a strong 9.2 GAR, building on a career that includes 785 points in 1159 games.
His offensive prowess is a consistent hallmark, with his even-strength offense alone generating an exceptional +11.1 GAR this season. Carlson's peak GAR of 13.5 in 2019-20 underscores his status as one of the league's premier blueliners, still delivering significant value.
Player Profile
| Position | Defenseman |
|---|---|
| Team | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Shoots / Catches | R |
| Height | 6'3" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Draft | 2008 — Round 1, Pick 27 — WSH |
2025-26 Season Stats
| GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | Shots | S% | TOI/GP | CF% | xG | Game Score | GAR | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 14 | 46 | 60 | +9 | 32 | 153 | 8.7% | 22:52 | 51.9% | 12.2 | 0.6 | 16.1 | 1.53 |
GAR Component Breakdown
| Even-Strength Offense | Even-Strength Defense | Power-Play Offense | Shorthanded Defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| +6.4 | -4.0 | +1.6 | +1.2 |
League percentile rank: points 78th, GAR 84th, WAR 84th (100th = league leader).
Career by Season (Regular Season)
| Season | GP | G | A | P | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 71 | 14 | 46 | 60 | 16.1 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 5 | 46 | 51 | 6.9 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 10 | 42 | 52 | 2.6 |
| 2022-23 | 40 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -3.4 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 17 | 54 | 71 | -1.6 |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 10 | 34 | 44 | -0.8 |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 15 | 60 | 75 | -0.9 |
| 2018-19 | 80 | 13 | 57 | 70 | -3.4 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 15 | 53 | 68 | -2.8 |
| 2016-17 | 72 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 3.3 |
| 2015-16 | 56 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 6.2 |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 12 | 43 | 55 | 21.2 |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 19.7 |
| 2012-13 | 48 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 3.3 |
Analysis
In the 2025-26 season John Carlson has been worth 16.1 Goals Above Replacement, which ranks in the 84th percentile leaguewide.
His value is driven primarily by even-strength offense (+6.4 GAR), while his even-strength defense grades below replacement (-4).
Across 14 tracked seasons his GAR peaked at 21.2 in 2014-15.
All figures are model outputs from Hockey Alchemy. Learn how the value metrics are built on the methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is John Carlson's GAR this season?
John Carlson has been worth 16.1 Goals Above Replacement (GAR) in the 2025-26 season, in the 84th percentile of NHL players.
How many points does John Carlson have this season?
John Carlson has 14 goals and 46 assists for 60 points in 71 games this season.
Is John Carlson a good defenseman?
John Carlson ranks in the 84th percentile among NHL skaters by GAR (16.1) in the 2025-26 season.