John Carlson — Stats & Advanced Analytics
John Carlson is an NHL defenseman for the Tampa Bay Lightning.
2026-27 So Far
Through Nov 4, John Carlson has 8 points (5 goals, 3 assists) in 14 games, a 48-point pace over 84 games. He is 7th on the Tampa Bay Lightning in scoring. 7 of the 8 came at even strength and 1 on the power play. He is averaging 19:00 of ice time a game.
Scouting Report
John Carlson is a defenseman late in his career who provides solid overall play in top-pair minutes. His offensive contributions are a defining aspect of his game, as he produces points at a high rate.
Carlson consistently gets to dangerous scoring areas and is effective at shooting from everywhere on the ice.
Player Profile
| Position | Defenseman |
|---|---|
| Team | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Shoots / Catches | R |
| Height | 6'3" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Born | January 10, 1990 (age 36) in Natick, United States |
| Draft | 2008 — Round 1, Pick 27 — WSH |
2026-27 Season Stats
| GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | Shots | S% | TOI/GP | CF% | xG | Game Score | GAR | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 5 | 3 | 8 | +1 | 2 | 37 | 13.5% | 19:00 | 62.4% | 2.5 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.34 |
GAR Component Breakdown
| Even-Strength Offense | Even-Strength Defense | Power-Play Offense | Shorthanded Defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| +2.0 | -0.1 | +0.0 | +0.0 |
League percentile rank: points 74th (100th = league leader).
2026-27 Scoring by Situation
| Situation | G | A | P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Even Strength | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Power Play | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 5 | 3 | 8 |
Shooting & Rate Stats
| TOI/GP | Shots | S% | Primary A | Secondary A | P/GP | xG | GAR/60 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | 37 | 13.5% | 2 | 1 | 0.57 | 2.5 | 0.15 |
Career by Season (Regular Season)
| Season | GP | G | A | P | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 1.9 |
| 2025-26 | 71 | 14 | 46 | 60 | 8.5 |
| 2024-25 | 79 | 5 | 46 | 51 | 3.9 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | 10 | 42 | 52 | 1.6 |
| 2022-23 | 40 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 4.6 |
| 2021-22 | 78 | 17 | 54 | 71 | 9.0 |
| 2020-21 | 52 | 10 | 34 | 44 | 7.4 |
| 2019-20 | 69 | 15 | 60 | 75 | 14.1 |
| 2018-19 | 80 | 13 | 57 | 70 | 11.4 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 15 | 53 | 68 | 10.3 |
| 2016-17 | 72 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 6.3 |
| 2015-16 | 56 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 6.8 |
| 2014-15 | 82 | 12 | 43 | 55 | 8.0 |
| 2013-14 | 82 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 2.7 |
Analysis
In the 2026-27 season John Carlson has been worth 1.9 Goals Above Replacement.
His value is driven primarily by even-strength offense (+2 GAR), while his even-strength defense grades below replacement (-0.1).
Across 14 tracked seasons his GAR peaked at 14.1 in 2019-20.
All figures are model outputs from Hockey Alchemy. Learn how the value metrics are built on the methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is John Carlson's GAR this season?
John Carlson has been worth 1.9 Goals Above Replacement (GAR) in the 2026-27 season.
What is John Carlson's WAR this season?
John Carlson has been worth about 0.3 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) in the 2026-27 season. WAR converts GAR to wins at roughly 5.57 goals per win.
How many points does John Carlson have this season?
John Carlson has 5 goals and 3 assists for 8 points in 14 games this season.
Is John Carlson a good defenseman?
John Carlson ranks by total value among NHL skaters by GAR (1.9) in the 2026-27 season.
What is John Carlson's career GAR?
Across 14 NHL seasons tracked by Hockey Alchemy, John Carlson has accumulated 96.5 career GAR and 696 points.
How tall is John Carlson, and how much does he weigh?
John Carlson is 6'3" tall and weighs 220 lb. Born January 10, 1990 (age 36) in Natick, United States.
How does John Carlson score across situations in 2026-27?
John Carlson has 7 even-strength points, 1 on the power play, and 0 shorthanded in 2026-27.
What is John Carlson's shooting percentage in 2026-27?
John Carlson has scored on 13.5% of 37 shots in 2026-27.