Jake Guentzel — Stats & Advanced Analytics
Jake Guentzel is an NHL center for the Tampa Bay Lightning. In the 2025-26 season Jake Guentzel has 38 goals, 50 assists and 88 points in 81 games, worth 16.6 Goals Above Replacement.
Player Overview
A consistent offensive force, Jake Guentzel continues to produce at an elite level for the Tampa Bay Lightning. In his current season, the 31-year-old center has tallied an impressive 38 goals and 50 assists for 88 points across 81 games, contributing to a high 18.4 GAR, near his career peak of 18.6.
Over his 10-season career, he has amassed 306 goals and 353 assists for 659 points in 681 games. His primary value driver remains his even-strength offense, which accounts for +3.9 GAR, showcasing his ability to generate scoring chances without special teams.
Player Profile
| Position | Center |
|---|---|
| Team | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Shoots / Catches | L |
| Height | 5'11" |
| Weight | 176 lb |
| Draft | 2013 — Round 3, Pick 77 — PIT |
2025-26 Season Stats
| GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | Shots | S% | TOI/GP | CF% | xG | Game Score | GAR | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 38 | 50 | 88 | +13 | 61 | 220 | 17.3% | 20:15 | 58.3% | 36.9 | 0.7 | 16.6 | 2.98 |
GAR Component Breakdown
| Even-Strength Offense | Even-Strength Defense | Power-Play Offense | Shorthanded Defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| +9.9 | +2.1 | +3.4 | +1.3 |
League percentile rank: points 98th, GAR 93th, WAR 93th (100th = league leader).
Career by Season (Regular Season)
| Season | GP | G | A | P | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 38 | 50 | 88 | 16.6 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 80 | 13.3 |
| 2023-24 | 67 | 30 | 47 | 77 | 19.9 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 36 | 37 | 73 | 17.6 |
| 2021-22 | 76 | 40 | 44 | 84 | 19.2 |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 23 | 34 | 57 | 13.3 |
| 2019-20 | 39 | 20 | 23 | 43 | 10.7 |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 40 | 36 | 76 | 18.3 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 22 | 26 | 48 | 6.2 |
| 2016-17 | 40 | 16 | 17 | 33 | 8.1 |
Analysis
In the 2025-26 season Jake Guentzel has been worth 16.6 Goals Above Replacement, which ranks in the 93rd percentile leaguewide.
His value is driven primarily by even-strength offense (+9.9 GAR), with shorthanded defense his smallest contribution (+1.3).
Across 10 tracked seasons his GAR peaked at 19.9 in 2023-24.
All figures are model outputs from Hockey Alchemy. Learn how the value metrics are built on the methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Jake Guentzel's GAR this season?
Jake Guentzel has been worth 16.6 Goals Above Replacement (GAR) in the 2025-26 season, in the 93rd percentile of NHL players.
How many points does Jake Guentzel have this season?
Jake Guentzel has 38 goals and 50 assists for 88 points in 81 games this season.
Is Jake Guentzel a good center?
Jake Guentzel ranks in the 93rd percentile among NHL skaters by GAR (16.6) in the 2025-26 season.