Jake Guentzel — Stats & Advanced Analytics
Jake Guentzel is an NHL center for the Tampa Bay Lightning. In the 2025-26 season Jake Guentzel has 38 goals, 50 assists and 88 points in 81 games, worth 15.9 Goals Above Replacement.
Player Overview
Jake Guentzel is an elite scoring forward, showcasing his offensive talent with 38 goals and 50 assists for 88 points in 81 games this season, contributing to a high 15.9 GAR. He remains a top-line threat, consistently driving offense for his team.
His ten-season career reflects sustained high-level production, with 306 goals and 353 assists for 659 points in 681 games. While his overall impact is substantial, his power-play offense is noted as a specific positive value driver this season.
Player Profile
| Position | Center |
|---|---|
| Team | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| Shoots / Catches | L |
| Height | 5'11" |
| Weight | 176 lb |
| Draft | 2013 — Round 3, Pick 77 — PIT |
2025-26 Season Stats
| GP | G | A | P | +/- | PIM | Shots | S% | TOI/GP | CF% | xG | Game Score | GAR | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 38 | 50 | 88 | +13 | 61 | 220 | 17.3% | 20:15 | 58.3% | 34.4 | 0.9 | 15.9 | 2.86 |
GAR Component Breakdown
| Even-Strength Offense | Even-Strength Defense | Power-Play Offense | Shorthanded Defense |
|---|---|---|---|
| +10.3 | +0.1 | +3.4 | +0.3 |
League percentile rank: points 98th, GAR 95th, WAR 95th (100th = league leader).
Career by Season (Regular Season)
| Season | GP | G | A | P | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 81 | 38 | 50 | 88 | 15.9 |
| 2024-25 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 80 | 13.2 |
| 2023-24 | 67 | 30 | 47 | 77 | 19.4 |
| 2022-23 | 78 | 36 | 37 | 73 | 15.1 |
| 2021-22 | 76 | 40 | 44 | 84 | 18.9 |
| 2020-21 | 56 | 23 | 34 | 57 | 13.2 |
| 2019-20 | 39 | 20 | 23 | 43 | 10.7 |
| 2018-19 | 82 | 40 | 36 | 76 | 18.4 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | 22 | 26 | 48 | 6.0 |
| 2016-17 | 40 | 16 | 17 | 33 | 8.1 |
Analysis
In the 2025-26 season Jake Guentzel has been worth 15.9 Goals Above Replacement, which ranks in the 95th percentile leaguewide.
His value is driven primarily by even-strength offense (+10.3 GAR), with even-strength defense his smallest contribution (+0.1).
Across 10 tracked seasons his GAR peaked at 19.4 in 2023-24.
All figures are model outputs from Hockey Alchemy. Learn how the value metrics are built on the methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Jake Guentzel's GAR this season?
Jake Guentzel has been worth 15.9 Goals Above Replacement (GAR) in the 2025-26 season, in the 95th percentile of NHL players.
What is Jake Guentzel's WAR this season?
Jake Guentzel has been worth about 2.9 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) in the 2025-26 season, in the 95th percentile of NHL players. WAR converts GAR to wins at roughly 5.57 goals per win.
How many points does Jake Guentzel have this season?
Jake Guentzel has 38 goals and 50 assists for 88 points in 81 games this season.
Is Jake Guentzel a good center?
Jake Guentzel ranks in the 95th percentile among NHL skaters by GAR (15.9) in the 2025-26 season.
What is Jake Guentzel's career GAR?
Across 10 NHL seasons tracked by Hockey Alchemy, Jake Guentzel has accumulated 138.9 career GAR and 659 points.
When was Jake Guentzel drafted?
Jake Guentzel was drafted in 2013 — Round 3, Pick 77 — PIT.