Colten Ellis — Stats & Advanced Analytics
Colten Ellis is an NHL goaltender for the Buffalo Sabres.
Player Overview
Colten Ellis is a rookie goaltender making his NHL debut with the Buffalo Sabres this season. In his first 16 career games, the 25-year-old has posted a record of 8 wins and 4 losses, along with one shutout. He has achieved a 2.9 goals against average and a .903 save percentage, contributing to a 2.1 GAR in his inaugural campaign.
Despite a positive overall GAR, Ellis's Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) sits at -0.6, indicating he is performing slightly below what would be anticipated given the quality of shots faced. This season marks his career peak in terms of GAR, as he gains valuable experience at the professional level.
Player Profile
| Position | Goaltender |
|---|---|
| Team | Buffalo Sabres |
| Shoots / Catches | L |
| Height | 6'1" |
| Weight | 191 lb |
| Draft | 2019 — Round 3, Pick 93 — STL |
2025-26 Season Stats
| GP | Record | SV% | GAA | GSAx | SO | GAR | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 8-4-2 | 90.3% | 2.90 | -0.6 | 1 | 2.1 | 0.38 |
Among NHL goaltenders, Colten Ellis ranks in the 59th percentile by GAR (100th = league leader).
Career by Season (Regular Season)
| Season | GP | W | L | SV% | GAA | GSAx | GAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 90.3% | 2.90 | -0.6 | 2.1 |
Analysis
In the 2025-26 season Colten Ellis has been worth 2.1 Goals Above Replacement, which ranks in the 59th percentile leaguewide.
His value comes from stopping -0.6 goals above expected (GSAx) on a 90.3% save percentage.
All figures are model outputs from Hockey Alchemy. Learn how the value metrics are built on the methodology page.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Colten Ellis's GAR this season?
Colten Ellis has been worth 2.1 Goals Above Replacement (GAR) in the 2025-26 season, in the 59th percentile of NHL players.
What is Colten Ellis's WAR this season?
Colten Ellis has been worth about 0.4 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) in the 2025-26 season, in the 59th percentile of NHL players. WAR converts GAR to wins at roughly 5.57 goals per win.
What is Colten Ellis's GSAx this season?
Colten Ellis has saved -0.6 goals above expected (GSAx) in the 2025-26 season by Hockey Alchemy's model.
What are Colten Ellis's goalie stats this season?
Colten Ellis has a 90.3% save percentage and a 2.9 goals-against average in the 2025-26 season.
Is Colten Ellis a good goaltender?
By Hockey Alchemy's model Colten Ellis grades above average this season with 2.1 GAR, in the 59th percentile among goaltenders. Goalie value is measured by goals saved above expected (GSAx).
When was Colten Ellis drafted?
Colten Ellis was drafted in 2019 — Round 3, Pick 93 — STL.