NHL Expected Goals Leaders

The NHL leaders in Expected Goals for the 2025-26 season, ranked using Hockey Alchemy's advanced analytics and updated daily.

#	Player	Team	Pos	xG
1	Connor McDavid	EDM	C	48.5
2	Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	44.6
3	Cole Caufield	MTL	LW	42.9
4	Jason Robertson	DAL	LW	42.1
5	Alex DeBrincat	DET	LW	41.4
6	Kirill Kaprizov	MIN	LW	40.7
7	Wyatt Johnston	DAL	C	40.0
8	Jake Guentzel	TBL	LW	39.5
9	Tomas Hertl	VGK	C	38.0
10	Timo Meier	NJD	LW	37.9
11	Tage Thompson	BUF	RW	37.3
12	John Tavares	TOR	C	37.1
13	Macklin Celebrini	SJS	C	37.0
14	Brandon Hagel	TBL	LW	36.5
15	Seth Jarvis	CAR	RW	36.5
16	Matt Boldy	MIN	RW	36.1
17	Jake DeBrusk	VAN	LW	36.0
18	Zach Hyman	EDM	RW	36.0
19	Dylan Larkin	DET	C	35.3
20	Kyle Connor	WPG	LW	35.0
21	Nikita Kucherov	TBL	RW	35.0
22	Anders Lee	NYI	LW	34.6
23	Nico Hischier	NJD	C	34.4
24	Dylan Guenther	UTA	RW	33.6
25	Pavel Dorofeyev	VGK	LW	33.1
26	Alex Ovechkin	WSH	LW	33.0
27	Steven Stamkos	NSH	LW	33.0
28	Connor Bedard	CHI	C	32.8
29	Brady Tkachuk	OTT	LW	32.3
30	Sam Reinhart	FLA	RW	32.3
31	Nick Suzuki	MTL	C	31.8
32	Bo Horvat	NYI	C	31.7
33	Cutter Gauthier	ANA	RW	31.6
34	Tim Stützle	OTT	C	31.6
35	Filip Forsberg	NSH	LW	31.6
36	Auston Matthews	TOR	C	31.5
37	Adrian Kempe	LAK	RW	31.5
38	Beckett Sennecke	ANA	RW	31.4
39	Juraj Slafkovský	MTL	RW	31.4
40	Adam Fantilli	CBJ	C	31.2

Analysis

Connor McDavid (EDM) leads the NHL in Expected Goals with 48.5 in the 2025-26 season, ahead of Nathan MacKinnon and Cole Caufield.

Connor McDavid leads the NHL in Expected Goals with 48.5 in the 2025-26 season.

Nathan MacKinnon ranks second in Expected Goals with 44.6 in the 2025-26 season.