NHL Expected Goals Leaders

The NHL leaders in Expected Goals for the 2025-26 season, ranked using Hockey Alchemy's advanced analytics and updated daily.

#	Player	Team	Pos	xG
1	Connor McDavid	EDM	C	41.8
2	Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	39.6
3	Kirill Kaprizov	MIN	LW	37.3
4	Alex DeBrincat	DET	LW	37.0
5	Wyatt Johnston	DAL	C	36.9
6	Jason Robertson	DAL	LW	35.8
7	Cole Caufield	MTL	LW	35.3
8	Zach Hyman	EDM	RW	35.0
9	Jake Guentzel	TBL	LW	34.4
10	Timo Meier	NJD	LW	34.1
11	Brandon Hagel	TBL	LW	34.1
12	Jake DeBrusk	VAN	LW	33.3
13	Tomas Hertl	VGK	C	32.8
14	Seth Jarvis	CAR	R	32.0
15	Macklin Celebrini	SJS	C	32.0
16	Nico Hischier	NJD	C	31.7
17	Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	31.3
18	John Tavares	TOR	C	31.2
19	Tage Thompson	BUF	RW	31.2
20	Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	31.0
21	Kyle Connor	WPG	LW	30.9
22	Matt Boldy	MIN	RW	30.8
23	Pavel Dorofeyev	NYR	LW	30.7
24	Juraj Slafkovský	MTL	RW	30.4
25	Alex Ovechkin	WSH	LW	30.3
26	Dylan Larkin	DET	C	30.2
27	Dylan Guenther	UTA	RW	30.0
28	Anders Lee	UTA	LW	29.9
29	Cutter Gauthier	ANA	RW	29.7
30	Tim Stützle	OTT	C	29.5
31	Brock Nelson	COL	C	29.4
32	Dylan Cozens	OTT	C	29.3
33	Auston Matthews	TOR	C	29.1
34	Gabriel Vilardi	WPG	RW	28.9
35	Nick Suzuki	MTL	C	28.7
36	Steven Stamkos	NSH	LW	28.4
37	Nikita Kucherov	TBL	RW	28.3
38	Beckett Sennecke	ANA	RW	28.0
39	Jackson Blake	CAR	RW	27.5
40	Sam Reinhart	FLA	RW	27.4

Analysis

Connor McDavid (EDM) leads the NHL in Expected Goals with 41.8 in the 2025-26 season, ahead of Nathan MacKinnon and Kirill Kaprizov.

Connor McDavid leads the NHL in Expected Goals with 41.8 in the 2025-26 season.

Nathan MacKinnon ranks second in Expected Goals with 39.6 in the 2025-26 season.