NHL Expected Goals Leaders

The NHL leaders in Expected Goals for the 2026-27 season, ranked using Hockey Alchemy's advanced analytics and updated daily.

#	Player	Team	Pos	xG
1	Andrei Svechnikov	CAR	RW	2.3
2	Tomas Hertl	VGK	C	2.2
3	William Eklund	OTT	LW	2.1
4	Adrian Kempe	LAK	C	2.1
5	Leon Draisaitl	EDM	C	2.1
6	Cole Perfetti	WPG	LW	2.0
7	Kirill Kaprizov	MIN	LW	1.9
8	Pavel Dorofeyev	NYR	LW	1.8
9	Vasily Podkolzin	EDM	LW	1.8
10	Dylan Strome	WSH	C	1.7
11	Kyle Connor	WPG	LW	1.7
12	Matt Boldy	MIN	RW	1.7
13	Auston Matthews	TOR	C	1.6
14	Eeli Tolvanen	NYR	RW	1.6
15	Chris Kreider	MTL	LW	1.5
16	Jordan Eberle	SEA	RW	1.5
17	Sebastian Aho	CAR	C	1.5
18	Alex Tuch	WSH	RW	1.5
19	Clayton Keller	UTA	LW	1.4
20	Brayden Point	TBL	C	1.4
21	Nick Schmaltz	UTA	C	1.4
22	Michael Brandsegg-Nygård	DET	RW	1.4
23	Brandon Hagel	TBL	LW	1.3
24	Elias Lindholm	BOS	C	1.3
25	Ivan Demidov	MTL	RW	1.3
26	Nikita Kucherov	TBL	RW	1.3
27	Sam Reinhart	FLA	RW	1.3
28	Anders Lee	UTA	LW	1.3
29	Quinton Byfield	LAK	C	1.3
30	William Nylander	TOR	RW	1.2
31	John Tavares	TOR	C	1.2
32	Will Cuylle	NYR	LW	1.2
33	Mika Zibanejad	NYR	C	1.2
34	J.T. Miller	NYR	C	1.2
35	JJ Peterka	BOS	R	1.2
36	Jack Quinn	BUF	RW	1.2
37	Nathan MacKinnon	COL	C	1.1
38	David Pastrnak	BOS	RW	1.1
39	Mikael Backlund	CGY	C	1.1
40	Brett Howden	VGK	LW	1.1

Analysis

Andrei Svechnikov (CAR) leads the NHL in Expected Goals with 2.3 in the 2026-27 season, ahead of Tomas Hertl and William Eklund.

Andrei Svechnikov leads the NHL in Expected Goals with 2.3 in the 2026-27 season.

Tomas Hertl ranks second in Expected Goals with 2.2 in the 2026-27 season.